Here are our AFL picks for Sunday 13 September 2026. Our model likes 6 bets here. The one it likes most is Sydney Swans Win, priced at +145 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.
Odds available at Sportsbet at time of publishing
Sydney Swans play Fremantle Dockers in the AFL. The bet we are looking at is Sydney Swans Win. That is a Head to Head bet. It was priced at +145 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $24.50 if it lands. Our model rates this one a lean pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Sydney Swans vs Fremantle Dockers: Under 42.5 team_totals_h1 (-115)
Odds available at Sportsbet at time of publishing
Sydney Swans play Fremantle Dockers in the AFL. The bet we are looking at is Under 42.5 team_totals_h1. It was priced at -115 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18.70 if it lands. Our model rates this one a lean pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Odds available at Sportsbet at time of publishing
Hawthorn Hawks play Brisbane Lions in the AFL. The bet we are looking at is Under 44.5 team_totals_h1. It was priced at -115 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18.70 if it lands. Our model rates this one a lean pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Hawthorn Hawks vs Brisbane Lions: Hawthorn Hawks Win (+100)
Odds available at Sportsbet at time of publishing
Hawthorn Hawks play Brisbane Lions in the AFL. The bet we are looking at is Hawthorn Hawks Win. That is a Head to Head bet. It was priced at +100 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $20 if it lands. Our model rates this one a lean pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Sydney Swans vs Fremantle Dockers: Under 21.5 team_totals_q1 (-127)
Odds available at Sportsbet at time of publishing
Sydney Swans play Fremantle Dockers in the AFL. The bet we are looking at is Under 21.5 team_totals_q1. It was priced at -127 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $17.90 if it lands. Our model rates this one a lean pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Hawthorn Hawks vs Brisbane Lions: Under 21.5 team_totals_q1 (-108)
Odds available at Sportsbet at time of publishing
Hawthorn Hawks play Brisbane Lions in the AFL. The bet we are looking at is Under 21.5 team_totals_q1. It was priced at -108 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.30 if it lands. Our model rates this one a lean pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
That is the model's read on today's AFL card. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.
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